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Actual winners have been moved forward in the bracket and the tournament has been run another 10,000 times starting with the Sweet 16. Actual scores are listed next to games that have already been played. The score next to each Sweet 16 game is the average score from 10,000 runs of the game.

The bracket represents the most likely outcome, where the team with the highest likelihood of advancing is moved on to the next round. Numbers in the table reflect the chance of a team making it to that round.

To view the original predictions, please click on "Round 1" above. To simulate games for free, please go to WhatIfSports.com’s SimMatchup.

Midwest/Sweet 16

Round One

1Kansas 85
16Portland St. 61
8UNLV 71
9Kent State 58
5Clemson 69
12Villanova 75
4Vanderbilt 62
13Siena 83
6USC 67
11Kansas St. 80
3Wisconsin 71
14CS Fullerton 56
7Gonzaga 76
10Davidson 82
2Georgetown 66
15UMBC 47

Field of 32

Kansas 75
UNLV 56
Villanova 84
Siena 72
Kansas St. 55
Wisconsin 72
Davidson 74
Georgetown 70

Sweet 16

Kansas 82
Villanova 67
Wisconsin 70
Davidson 71

Elite 8

Kansas
Davidson

Final 4

Kansas
Seed/Team Elite 8 Final 4 Champ. Game Championship
1 Kansas
91.8%73.6%50.0%37.5%
10 Davidson
52.6%14.4%6.0%2.9%
3 Wisconsin
47.4%9.8%3.1%1.0%
12 Villanova
8.2%2.2%0.4%0.1%
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