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The listed score is the average score from the 10,000 runs of each first round game. The bracket represents the most likely outcome, where the team with the highest likelihood of advancing is moved on to the next round. Numbers in the table reflect the chance of a team making it to that round.

Midwest/Round 1

Round One

1Kansas 82
16Portland St. 66
8UNLV 65
9Kent State 66
5Clemson 77
12Villanova 74
4Vanderbilt 77
13Siena 74
6USC 72
11Kansas St. 74
3Wisconsin 76
14CS Fullerton 70
7Gonzaga 74
10Davidson 75
2Georgetown 72
15UMBC 60

Field of 32

Kansas
Kent State
Clemson
Vanderbilt
Kansas St.
Wisconsin
Davidson
Georgetown

Sweet 16

Kansas
Clemson
Wisconsin
Georgetown

Elite 8

Kansas
Georgetown

Final 4

Kansas
Seed/Team Field of 32 Sweet 16 Elite 8 Final 4 Champ. Game Championship
1 Kansas
93.3%84.3%74.4%59.5%42.0%31.6%
2 Georgetown
88.9%57.5%38.0%15.5%8.3%4.3%
3 Wisconsin
72.1%46.7%20.7%5.8%2.0%1.2%
10 Davidson
55.9%23.6%14.1%4.2%1.8%1.0%
7 Gonzaga
44.1%16.9%8.1%2.5%1.1%0.8%
5 Clemson
64.0%44.2%10.2%4.6%1.0%0.2%
9 Kent State
53.3%7.7%3.1%1.0%0.1%0.1%
4 Vanderbilt
58.7%20.9%3.0%0.8%0.3%0.0%
6 USC
43.6%17.1%5.2%1.4%0.3%0.0%
8 UNLV
46.7%5.4%1.9%0.4%0.0%0.0%
11 Kansas St.
56.4%24.9%9.8%1.7%0.2%0.0%
12 Villanova
36.0%23.5%4.9%0.9%0.2%0.0%
13 Siena
41.3%11.4%1.1%0.2%0.0%0.0%
14 CS Fullerton
27.9%11.3%3.2%0.8%0.0%0.0%
15 UMBC
11.1%2.0%0.9%0.2%0.1%0.0%
16 Portland St.
6.7%2.6%1.4%0.0%0.0%0.0%
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