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Numbers in the table reflect the chance of a team making it to that round. The bracket represents the most likely outcome, where the team with the highest likelihood of advancing is moved on to the next round. Only the 16 teams that are still left are included in the simulations and table.

To view the original predictions, please click on "Round 1" above. To simulate games for free, please go to WhatIfSports.com’s SimMatchup.

Final Four/Sweet 16

Final Four

UNC
Kansas
Memphis
UCLA

Championship

Kansas
Memphis

Champion

Kansas
Seed/Team Elite 8 Final 4 Champ. Game Championship
1 Kansas
91.8%73.6%50.0%37.5%
1 Memphis
67.9%48.6%30.3%13.6%
1 UNC
77.4%41.4%17.2%10.7%
1 UCLA
76.0%41.0%22.7%8.9%
2 Tennessee
49.6%25.7%10.7%6.1%
3 Louisville
50.4%26.1%11.2%6.0%
3 Xavier
60.8%32.7%14.8%4.7%
10 Davidson
52.6%14.4%6.0%2.9%
2 Texas
60.3%21.8%10.8%2.7%
7 WVU
39.2%18.6%7.0%2.0%
5 Michigan St.
32.1%16.4%7.6%1.7%
3 Stanford
39.7%13.2%4.7%1.0%
3 Wisconsin
47.4%9.8%3.1%1.0%
4 Wash St.
22.6%6.8%1.4%0.7%
12 WKU
24.0%7.7%2.1%0.4%
12 Villanova
8.2%2.2%0.4%0.1%
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