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Bracket Preview

Actual winners have been moved forward in the bracket and the tournament has been run another 10,000 times starting with the Sweet 16. Actual scores are listed next to games that have already been played. The score next to each Sweet 16 game is the average score from 10,000 runs of the game.

The bracket represents the most likely outcome, where the team with the highest likelihood of advancing is moved on to the next round. Numbers in the table reflect the chance of a team making it to that round.

To view the original predictions, please click on "Round 1" above. To simulate games for free, please go to WhatIfSports.com’s SimMatchup.

East/Sweet 16

Round One

1UNC 113

16MSMU 74

8Indiana 72

9Arkansas 86

5Notre Dame 68

12GMU 50

4Wash. St. 71

13Winthrop 40

6Oklahoma 72

11St. Joseph's 64

3Louisville 79

14Boise State 61

7Butler 81

10S. Alabama 61

2Tennessee 72

15American 57

Field of 32

UNC 108

Arkansas 77

Notre Dame 41

Wash. St. 61

Oklahoma 48

Louisville 78

Butler 71

Tennessee 76

Sweet 16

UNC 80

Wash. St. 72

Louisville 78

Tennessee 77

Elite 8

UNC

Louisville

Final 4

UNC

Seed/Team	Elite 8	Final 4	Champ. Game	Championship
1 UNC	77.4%	41.4%	17.2%	10.7%
2 Tennessee	49.6%	25.7%	10.7%	6.1%
3 Louisville	50.4%	26.1%	11.2%	6.0%
4 Wash St.	22.6%	6.8%	1.4%	0.7%

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